Snap Shot Sophomore Pitchers to Target for 2018

My picks in order: Luis Castillo, Dinelson Lamet, Jakob Faria, and Jose Berrios

Luis Castillo (3-7, 3.12 ERA)
Bad team, true sophomore year, 25 years old.
Face a lot of tough teams out of the gate.
Over the past two years, his K rate has gone up, it jumped this last year by 2.
9.87 K this year. ERA 3.12 xFIP 3.42 walk rate 3.22
Has had a very good HR rate, jumped a bit this year.

Dinelson Lamet (7-8, 4.57 ERA)
Bad team, 25 years old.
11 k per 9 IP, 4.25 walks per 9 IP, ERA sitting around 4.5
Last 12 games, 9 of those games gave up 2 runs or less.

Jose Berrios (14-8, 3.89 ERA)
Good team, up and down 23 years old.
K per 9 around 9, 3 walks per 9IP, ERA 3.93
Great fastball, great curve.

Jakob Junis (9-3, 4.30 ERA)
Decent team.
7.32 K per 9IP
Only 2.29 walks per 9IP

Giolito (3-3, 2.38 ERA)
Bad team, only 23 years, been a bit lucky this year, 7 starts this year, 6.75 k rate.
K rate low with the Nationals too.
Can he adjust to the bigs and start striking out hitters?

Reynaldo Lopez (3-3, 4.72 ERA)
Bad team, his K rate dropped once in the bigs. 

Tyler Glasnow (2-7, 7.69 ERA)
44% GB rate
Very high K rate in the minors but can he control the walks.
If he can control the walks, we may seem him make strides next year.
Conclusion: Worth a late round pick but stats may end up like this year if he can’t make adjustments. 

Brent Suter (3-2, 3.42 ERA)
Rough ballpark, not the highest strikeout total, historically low K per 9 (below 7).
Plus fastball, plus slider, if he can improve the other pitches.
Mid-range starter

Jacob Faria (5-4, 3.43 ERA)
Good team.
Dirty changeup (gets a lot of swing and misses)
Great slider (gets a lot of ground balls).

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